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Diskussionspapiere 327 / 2003

Mis-Leading Indicators? The Argentinean Currency Crisis

Despite the fact that Argentina has been suffering from recession for years the timing and severity of the recent currency crisis has surprised most observers. This paper analyzes whether the "early warning" or "signals" approach of Kaminsky (1998), Kaminsky/Lizondo/Reinhart (1998) and Kaminsky/Reinhart (1999) could have predicted the Argentinean currency crisis at an earlier point in time. Using a ...

2003| Patricia Alvarez-Plata, Mechthild Schrooten
Diskussionspapiere 303 / 2002

Interpreting Currency Crises: A Review of Theory, Evidence, and Issues

The main objective of this paper is to understand the causes and symptoms of currency crises by reviewing its seminal literature, establishing its determinants, and outlining some of the relevant issues. The paper highlights the need to comprehend the process, which may lead to the inconsistency of the policies and render the situation favourable for a speculative attack. This involves, broadening ...

2002| Omar F. Saqib
Diskussionspapiere 304 / 2002

An Investigation into the 1999 Collapse of the Brazilian Real

This study argues that the political considerations were an important factor behind the crisis of the Brazilian real in January 1999. The divided coalition government and a president facing impending elections eschewed the correction of external misalignments and the fiscal austerity at a time when the markets were already excited by the 1997-98 East Asian and 1998 Russian financial crises. The hypothesis ...

2002| Omar F. Saqib
Externe Monographien

Aspects of Transition to Market Economies in Eastern Europe

Aldershot [u.a.]: Avebury, 1996, XI, 182 S. | Ulrich Thiessen
Weitere externe Aufsätze

Fiscal Solidarity in an Enlarged European Union: A Comment

In: Martin Brusis, Janis Emmanouilidis (Hrsg.) , Thinking Enlarged
Bonn : Europa Union Verl.
S. 73-75
Münchener Beiträge zur Europäischen Einigung ; 7
| Christian Weise
Economic Bulletin 10 / 2001

Against the Yen: A Rejected One-Way Bet? Editorial

2001| Wolfram Schrettl
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Orthodox Money-Based Stabilization (OMBS) versus Heterodox Exchange Rate-Based Stabilization (HERBS): The Case of Russia, the Ukraine and Kazakhstan

In: Economic Systems 21 (1997), 1, S. 1-33 | Peter Bofinger, Heiner Flassbeck, Lutz Hoffmann
Research Notes 1 / 2004

Do Foreign Banks Improve Financial Performance? Evidence from EU Accession Countries

2004| Hella Engerer, Mechthild Schrooten
Externe Monographien

Productivity Growth and the Real Appreciation of the Accession Countries' Currencies

Ann Arbor, Mich.: William Davidson Inst., 2004, [Ohne Zählung]
(William Davidson Institute Working Paper ; 675)
| Kirsten Lommatzsch, Silke Tober
Externe referierte Aufsätze

The Argentinean Currency Crisis: A Markov-Switching Model Estimation

In 2002, the Argentinean currency board came to a sudden and dramatic end. Although the country had been suffering from weak economic fundamentals for years, the timing and severity of the currency crisis surprised most observers. The present study analyzes the role of fundamentals and self-fulfilling speculation in the Argentinean crisis. Arguing within a theoretical model of a fixed exchange rate ...

In: The Developing Economies 44 (2006), 1, S. 79-91 | Patricia Alvarez-Plata, Mechthild Schrooten
840 results, from 731