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861 results, from 1
  • DIW Roundup 142 / 2022

    How Shocks Affect Stock Market Participation

    While there is a broad consensus in the literature that stock ownership is associated with individual characteristics, such as wealth, income, risk preferences, and financial literacy, less is known about the dynamics of stock market participation (SMP). Major fluctuations in SMP are oftentimes related to political events, economic shocks, and technological disruptions. We discuss the literature that ...

    2022| Lorenz Meister, Karla Schulze
  • Diskussionspapiere 2027 / 2022

    Non-Additivity of Subjective Expectations over Different Time Intervals

    We examine the additivity of stock-market expectations over different time intervals. When asked about a ten-year interval, survey respondents expect a stock-price change that is not equal to, but closer to zero than, the sum of their expectations over two shorter time intervals that cover the same ten years. Such sub-additivity is irrational in that it cannot stem from aggregating short-term expectations. ...

    2022| Peter Haan, Chen Sun, Uwe Sunde, Georg Weizsäcker
  • Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen

    Subjective belief formation and stock market participation in Germany

    This paper exploits unique variation induced by two information treatments on a sample of German households in 2017 and 2018 to evaluate how subjective belief formation about stock market returns affects stock market participation and portfolio choice. I find that on average the information treatments do not shift individual expectations about returns significantly. Additionally, I show that...

    07.12.2022| Sebastian Becker
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    What Goes around Comes around: How Large Are Spillbacks from US Monetary Policy?

    Spillovers from US monetary policy entail spillbacks to the domestic economy. Applying counterfactual analyses in a Bayesian proxy structural vector-autoregressive model we find that spillbacks account for a non-trivial share of the slowdown in domestic real activity following a contractionary US monetary policy shock. Spillbacks materialise as a monetary policy tightening depresses foreign sales and ...

    In: Journal of Monetary Economics 131 (2022), S. 45–60 | Max Breitenlechner, Georgios Georgiadis, Ben Schumann
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    Dominant-Currency Pricing and the Global Output Spillovers from US Dollar Appreciation

    We test for the empirical relevance of partial and asymmetric dominant-currency pricing (DCP), the hypothesis that large but not necessarily identical shares of economies’ export and import prices are sticky in US dollar. We first set up a structural three-country New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model which nests DCP, producer-currency pricing and local-currency pricing. Under ...

    In: Journal of International Economics 133 (2021), 103537 | Georgios Georgiadis, Ben Schumann
  • Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

    The transmission of financial shocks and leverage of financial institutions: An endogenous regime switching framework"

    05.07.2022| Kirsten Hubrich, Federal Reserve Board
  • Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

    "Macroprudential Policy and Financial Crises"

    19.07.2022| Johanna Krenz, Universität Hamburg
  • Diskussionspapiere 1993 / 2022

    Sovereign Bonds since Waterloo

    This paper studies external sovereign bonds as an asset class. It compiles a new database of 266,000 monthly prices of foreign-currency government bonds traded in London and New York between 1815 (the Battle of Waterloo) and 2016, covering up to 91 countries. The main insight is that, as in equity markets, the returns on external sovereign bonds have been sufficiently high to compensate for risk. Real ...

    2022| Josefin Meyer, Carmen M. Reinhart, Christoph Trebesch
  • Diskussionspapiere 1990 / 2022

    The Signalling Channel of Negative Interest Rates

    Negative interest rates remain a controversial policy for central banks. We study a novel signalling channel and ask under what conditions negative rates should exist in an optimal policymaker’s toolkit. We prove two necessary conditions for the optimality of negative rates: a time-consistent policy setting and a preference for policy smoothing. These conditions allow negative rates to signal policy ...

    2022| Oliver de Groot, Alexander Haas
  • Cluster-Seminar Öffentliche Finanzen und Lebenslagen

    Do Business Tax Rates Affect Real Investment?

    Policymakers widely use tax-based incentives to spur investment and stimulate economic growth. Tax policy has been at the center of emergency measures during the Covid-19 pandemic, and it is now as countries face a significant deterioration in public finances. Yet, empirical tax research is still in disagreement on how taxes affect business investment. We investigate the effect of local business...

    15.02.2023| Charlotte Bartels
861 results, from 1
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