Skip to content!

Search

clear
0 filter(s) selected
close
Go to page
remove add
920 results, from 21
SOEPpapers 1165 / 2022

The Long-Run Effects of Immigration: Evidence Across a Barrier to Refugee Settlement

After the end of World War II in 1945, millions of refugees arrived in what in 1949 became the Federal Republic of Germany. We examine their effect on today’s productivity, wages, income, rents, education, and population density at the municipality level. Our identification strategy is based on a spatial discontinuity in refugee settlement at the border between the French and US occupation zones in ...

2022| Antonio Ciccone, Jan Nimczik
DIW Weekly Report 46 / 2021

Income Inequality in Germany Temporarily Sinks During Crises

This study is the first to investigate the interdependence of income inequality and business cycles in Germany over the past 40 years. These fluctuations in income inequality are important because they are decisive for designing effective and targeted structural redistributive and stabilization measures. The results of this study show that income inequality in Germany fluctuates with the business cycle ...

2021| Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Alexander Kriwoluzky
Press Release

German economy will first pick up speed in 2022

DIW Berlin forecasting experts are lowering their forecast for 2021 from 3.2 to 2.1 percent - Supply bottlenecks and material shortages are weighing on German industry - Private consumption remains restrained - With growth of just under five percent, the German economy will pick up speed in 2022 once bottlenecks have been overcome and infection rates have fallen on a sustained basis - Inflation no ...

16.09.2021
Schumpeter BSE Macro Seminar

Perceptions about Monetary Policy

24.05.2022| Michael Bauer, Universität Hamburg
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Inequality over the Business Cycle: The Role of Distributive Shocks

This paper examines how wealth and income inequality dynamics are related to fluctuations in the functional income distribution over the business cycle. In a panel estimation for OECD countries between 1970 and 2016, although inequality is, on average countercyclical and significantly associated with the capital share, one-third of the countries display a pro- or noncyclical relationship. To analyze ...

In: Macroeconomic Dynamics (2022), im Ersch. [online first:2021-11-18] | Marius Clemens, Ulrich Eydam, Maik Heinemann
DIW Weekly Report 41/42 / 2021

Inflation in the Euro Area: Factors Mostly Have Only a Temporary Effect, but Risk of Prolonged Elevated Inflation Remains

Headline inflation in the euro area jumped to more than three percent in the summer after years of relatively low inflation rates well below the target of close to but below two percent set by the ECB until July 2021. One of the main reasons for the rise in inflation is the increase in energy prices since the beginning of 2021. However, there are further indications that inflation in the euro area ...

2021| Kerstin Bernoth, Gökhan Ider
Diskussionspapiere 1954 / 2021

Disentangling Covid-19, Economic Mobility, and Containment Policy Shocks

We study the dynamic impact of Covid-19, economic mobility, and containment policy shocks. We use Bayesian panel structural vector autoregressions with daily data for 44 countries, identified through sign and zero restrictions. Incidence and mobility shocks raise cases and deaths significantly for two months. Restrictive policy shocks lower mobility immediately, cases after one week, and deaths after ...

2021| Annika Camehl, Malte Rieth
Externe referierte Aufsätze

Sovereign Default Risk, Macroeconomic Fluctuations and Monetary–Fiscal Stabilization

This paper examines the role of sovereign default beliefs for macroeconomic fluctuations and stabilization policy in a small open economy where fiscal solvency is a critical problem. We set up and estimate a DSGE model on Turkish data and show that accounting for sovereign risk significantly improves the fit of the model through an endogenous amplification between default beliefs, exchange rate and ...

In: IMF Economic Review 69 (2021), 2, S. 391–426 | Markus Kirchner, Malte Rieth
Symposium

Towards a green and smart economy in Germany and the EU

The recovery from the corona virus pandemic provides a unique opportunity for transformation. But what does it take for the German and the European economy to thrive in the new, more digital, post-Covid world? How can we transform our economies while also limiting climate change and preparing for its impact? Will we manage to advance structural transformation while strengthening social cohesion? ...

27.01.2021| Ambroise Fayolle, Fritzi Köhler-Geib, Debora Revoltella, Marcel Fratzscher, Claudia Kemfert
920 results, from 21
keyboard_arrow_up