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  • Press Release

    Joint Economic Forecast: Purchasing power returns ‒ political uncertainty high

    According to the Joint Economic Forecast, Germany's gross domestic product declines by 0.6% in 2023. This is a strong downward revision of 0.9 percentage points from the forecast made in spring 2023. "The most important reason for this revision is that industry and private con­sumption are recovering more slowly than we expected in spring," says Oliver Holtemöller, Vice President and Head of the Macroeconomics ...

    28.09.2023
  • Infographic

    Inflation is pushing real construction volume into negative territory

    10.01.2023
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    The EU Sustainable Finance Taxonomy and Its Contribution to Climate Neutrality

    The EU Taxonomy is the first standardised and comprehensive classification system for sustainable economic activities. It covers activities responsible for up to 80% of EU greenhouse gas emissions and may play an important role in channelling investments into low-carbon technologies by helping investors to make informed decisions. However, especially in transition sectors much depends on the stringency ...

    In: Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment (2023), im Ersch. [online first: 2021-12-08] | Franziska Schütze, Jan Stede
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    A Lasting Crisis Affects R&D Decisions of Smaller Firms: The Greek Experience

    We use the prolonged Greek crisis as a case study to understand how a lasting economic shock affects the innovation strategies of firms in economies with moderate innovation activities. Adopting the 3-stage CDM model, we explore the link between R&D, innovation, and productivity for different size groups of Greek manufacturing firms during the prolonged crisis. At the first stage, we find that the ...

    In: The Journal of Technology Transfer 48 (2023), 4, S. 1161–1175 | Ioannis Giotopoulos, Alexander S. Kritikos, Aggelos Tsakanikas
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    Crisis Stress for the Diversity of Financial Portfolios - Evidence from European Households

    In this paper, we investigate how European households changed the diversity of their financial portfolios in response to the Great Financial and the subsequent European Debt Crisis. For this purpose we apply a Difference-in-Differences (DiD) approach estimated as a correlated random effects (CRE) model to six waves of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE). We find that households ...

    In: International Review of Economics and Finance 83 (2023), S. 330-347 | Dorothea Schäfer, Andreas Stephan, Henriette Weser
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    Inequality over the Business Cycle: The Role of Distributive Shocks

    This paper examines how wealth and income inequality dynamics are related to fluctuations in the functional income distribution over the business cycle. In a panel estimation for OECD countries between 1970 and 2016, although inequality is, on average countercyclical and significantly associated with the capital share, one-third of the countries display a pro- or noncyclical relationship. To analyze ...

    In: Macroeconomic Dynamics 27 (2023), S. 571-600 | Marius Clemens, Ulrich Eydam, Maik Heinemann
  • DIW Weekly Report 36/37 / 2023

    DIW Economic Outlook: German Economy Fighting Its Way out of Winter Recession

    Following the winter recession and stagnation in the second quarter of 2023, the economic upswing is proceeding at a sluggish pace, contrary to expectations over the summer. Weak foreign demand and ongoing inflation have proven to be slowing economic growth. For the time being, private consumption is not driving the German economy and is likely to develop in the second half of 2023 only haltingly. ...

    2023| Timm Bönke, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Guido Baldi, Hella Engerer, Pia Hüttl, Konstantin A. Kholodilin, Frederik Kurcz, Theresa Neef, Laura Pagenhardt, Werner Roeger, Marie Rulliere, Jan-Christopher Scherer, Teresa Schildmann, Ruben Staffa, Kristin Trautmann, Jana Wittich
  • DIW Weekly Report 34/35 / 2023

    Meeting Climate Targets Can Only Spur on Economic Growth with the Right Combination of Measures

    Reducing carbon emissions is essential to meeting climate targets. What is unclear, however, is which measures are required to do so and what impact they would have on economic growth. In this Weekly Report, a macroeconomic model is used to observe four scenarios in comparison to a baseline scenario without emissions reduction. It is analyzed which effects different measures, such as technological ...

    2023| Timm Bönke, Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, Werner Roeger
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    Risk Preference and Entrepreneurial Investment at the Top of the Wealth Distribution

    This study quantifies the distributional effects of the minimum wage introduced in Germany in 2015. Using detailed Socio-Economic Panel survey data, we assess changes in the hourly wages, working hours, and monthly wages of employees who were entitled to be paid the minimum wage. We employ a difference-in-differences analysis, exploiting regional variation in the “bite” of the minimum wage. At the ...

    In: Empirical Economics (2023), im Ersch. [Online first: 2023-08-01] | Frank M. Fossen, Johannes König, Carsten Schröder
  • Externe referierte Aufsätze

    Estimating the Marginal Costs of Road Renewals: Evidence from a Duration Approach

    Within an analytical approach that mirrors the relationship between road deterioration, traffic load, and road renewal, we estimate the marginal costs of road renewals as part of a social marginal cost scheme for road charging. Based on a comprehensive data set for German motor ways, we estimate a Weibull dura tion model with shared frailties that account for unobserved heterogeneity, including covariates ...

    In: Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 57 (2023), 2, S. 104-130 | Neil Murray, Heike Link
970 results, from 1
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