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133 results, from 21
Press Release

The German economy is slowing down somewhat

According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy should grow by 1.9 percent this year and 1.7 percent next year. The GDP growth forecast has thus decreased by 0.5 percentage points for this year and by 0.2 percentage points for the coming year compared to DIW Berlin’s March forecast. Essentially, this reflects the markedly increased uncertainty concerning the economic policy environment ...

15.06.2018
Weekly Report

The global economy and the euro area: Increased uncertainty is dampening growth

The political conditions for growth are currently dominated by increased uncertainty; this is particularly weighing on investment activity and slowing down the global economy. DIW Berlin is lowering its forecast slightly for this year and the next to 4.1 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively. However, global expansion appears to remain intact. In developed economies, primarily the good labor market ...

15.06.2018| Stefan Gebauer, Malte Rieth
Weekly Report

German economy: Slowdown in sight

Compared to last year, the German economy is weakening noticeably. Orders from abroad are decreasing and domestic companies are holding back on investments. However, capacity utilization remains high—also because the government will boost the incomes of private households next year. However, above all, incomes are rising noticeably due to the positive situation in the labor market: the unemployment ...

15.06.2018| Simon Junker, Claus Michelsen, Thore Schlaak
Weekly Report

A stabilization fund can make the euro area more crisis-proof

Reorganizing European fiscal policy is a main topic in current reform considerations. In particular, the creation of a European stabilization mechanism is being discussed. This study examines the macroeconomic effects of a stabilization fund, the economic consequences of which are analyzed in an equilibrium model. The model shows that a stabilization fund reduces economic fluctuations and is thus a ...

06.06.2018| Marius Clemens, Mathias Klein
Press Release

DIW Economic Barometer April 2018: upswing continues at a slower pace

The Economic Barometer of the German Insitute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) remains high but is signaling a weakening of the growth rate. It reached a score of 126 points in the first quarter and 121 points in the second quarter, well above the 100-point mark that stands for average growth.

26.04.2018
Weekly Report

Social services: a rapidly growing economic sector

The social services sector has experienced growth at a far above-average pace in the past, and employment has even accelerated since the middle of the past decade. This is due to a strong increase in demand for this sector's services as a result of an aging society and from increasing tasks to solve problems in families. The influx of refugees has also affected demand. Almost everywhere in the EU, ...

26.04.2018| Karl Brenke, Thore Schlaak
Press Release

Germany’s Economic Experts Raise Forecast Slightly

Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), ifo Institute, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research

19.04.2018
Press Release

DIW Economic Barometer March 2018: economic boom continues

The German economy is expected to have gained a good 0.7 percent in the first quarter of 2018 compared to the final quarter of 2017. This is signaled by the Economic Barometer of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), which rose from 113 to 118 points. It is still well above the 100-point mark, which stands for average growth.

28.03.2018
Weekly Report

New government prolongs German economic upswing: Editorial

According to DIW Berlin estimates, the German economy should grow by 2.4 percent this year and 1.9 percent the following year. The GDP growth forecast has thus increased by 0.2 percentage points for this year compared to December and by 0.3 percentage points for the coming year. This primarily reflects the new fiscal policy framework resulting from the coalition agreement between the three parties ...

19.03.2018| Claus Michelsen
Weekly Report

New government’s policies give the thriving German economy an additional boost

The German economy will grow by 2.4 percent this year, especially due to strong foreign demand. Brisk investment activity continues in this economic climate; stimulus from foreign trade, however, is weakening somewhat. Despite strong consumer demand in the coming quarters, employment and economic output growth are losing momentum. However, stimulus measures from the new federal government will increase ...

19.03.2018| Claus Michelsen
Weekly Report

The global economy and the Euro area: expansion continues but is losing momentum

The global economy is likely to grow by over four percent this year and somewhat less next year. DIW Berlin has slightly raised its forecast for both years. Developed economies as well as emerging markets are experiencing an upturn; however, growth rates are likely to be slightly lower in the future. One reason for the sound global economy is the fact that the labor market situation is steadily improving, ...

19.03.2018| Claus Michelsen
Press Release

DIW Berlin Economic Barometer January 2018: the German economy is soaring

The German economy continues to soar: the German Institute for Economic Research’s (DIW Berlin) Economic Barometer is at its highest reading in seven years. The index score for the first quarter landed at 118 points, an increase of almost four points compared to the last quarter of 2017. The Economic Barometer is thus well-above the 100-point mark that corresponds to the long-term average growth ...

31.01.2018
Press Release

The new grand coalition’s work program: DIW Berlin says there is still much to improve

In important areas such as tax policy, education, and energy, the future grand coalition must be considerably more ambitious – The need for reform in Germany is not being addressed sufficiently Germany’s next government will most likely once again be a grand coalition. However, the results of the preliminary coalition talks between the Union parties and the SPD, which serve as a basis ...

31.01.2018
Press Release

Construction volume forecast: End of the new housing sector boom

Construction industry continues very positive development – more room for modernization and renovation of existing buildings – construction prices rise sharply The construction sector cycle will continue its upward course in the next two years according to the forecast of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), which makes its annual prognosis of construction volume on ...

12.01.2018
Press Release

DIW Berlin Economic Barometer December 2017: the boom continues despite an end-of-the-year damper

The Economic Barometer of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) dropped by four points in December to 109 points. However, the value above 100 still indicates above-average GDP growth in the fourth quarter by slightly more than half a percent when compared to the third quarter. "Economic growth in the final quarter will be somewhat weaker than before. Nonetheless, the bulging order ...

21.12.2017
Economic Bulletin

DIW Economic Outlook: German economy booming but not to the point of overheating

The German economy continues to boom and the upswing has recently gained breadth. In addition to continuing strong consumer demand on the domestic front, the flourishing global economy is making itself felt in a growing Germany economy. In view of strong exports and abating global risks companies in capital-intensive manufacturing and processing industries are currently investing more. This activity ...

13.12.2017
Press Release

Expansive monetary policy: Early exit from bond purchase program could reduce GDP growth and inflation in the euro area

The following study from DIW Berlin examines the effects of different exit scenarios from the European Central bank’s bond purchase program on the European economy – exiting early would especially depress the inflation rate What if the ECB were to reduce its bond purchase program by more than what it reported at the end of October? What if it reduced its bond holdings quicker or earlier? ...

06.12.2017
Press Release

DIW Economic Barometer November 2017: euphoric expectations signal a strong end to the year

The economic barometer of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) once again reports exceptionally strong growth in the final quarter of 2017: the index level increased to 113 points. GDP should thus continue to outperform at a read of 0.8 percent in the fourth quarter. “Caution should be exercised when interpreting the euphoric sentiment indicators,” warns Ferdinand Fichtner, ...

29.11.2017
Press Release

DIW Economic Barometer October 2017: the German economy’s golden autumn

The German economy’s strong upswing continues. At 112 points, the Economic Barometer published by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) continues to signal GDP growth that is well above average: 0.7 percent in the third quarter and 0.9 percent in the fourth. “The German economy is heading toward 2018 at full speed,” said Ferdinand Fichtner, head of forecasting at ...

01.11.2017
Press Release

Joint Economic Forecast Autumn 2017: Upturn Remains Robust - Amid Mounting Tensions

Press release of the project group "Gemeinschaftsdiagnose": German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin), Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), ifo Institute, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research The German economic upturn has gained both in terms of strength and breadth. In addition to consumer spending, external trade and investments ...

28.09.2017
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